A pale moonbow arcing through mist below Cumberland Falls at night

Cumberland Falls Moonbow LiveThursday, July 30

MARGINAL

5 live/model sources fresh

Estimated Moonbow Chance70%

Physical score 83/100

Best window: 10:55 PM – 1:10 AM
Arrive by: 10:30 PM
Forecast confidence: MODERATE 47/100

A viable window exists, but one or more ingredients remain marginal.

The Moon is 98% illuminated.
4 forecast models put cloud cover near 8% with 16-point spread.
Low mist proxy from 183 CFS (11th seasonal percentile).
The Moon clears the effective terrain and tree skyline. Peak physical score is 83.

USGS 3DEP cached horizonnot live

USGS station 03404500updated 68 min ago

NWS forecast grid JKL 28,14updated 67 min ago

NOAA HRRR 3 km via Open-Meteoupdated now

Peak 10:55 PM · Physical score 84 · 135 min sustained window

Photo: Design219 / Wikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA 4.0

Interactive moonbow diorama

See why this time works

Scrub the evening, then tap a feature to understand the geometry.

Viewing time10:55 PM

Geometry is workingPhysical score 84/100

Moonbow zone

A primary moonbow appears roughly 40–42° from the anti-lunar point. The brighter this arc appears here, the better the modeled bow-to-mist alignment.

Explore the night5:00 PM → 6:00 AM

Moon altitude14.0°

Bow/mist error0.0°

Mist placement74/100

Cloud transmission95/100

Physical score84/100

This is an explanatory diorama, not a literal camera view. The engine itself uses topocentric Moon position, the 40–42° primary-bow geometry, the cached local skyline and a modeled mist volume at five-minute resolution.

Five-minute engine

Tonight timeline

The Moon clears the effective terrain and tree skyline. The sustained score falls out of its strongest period.

Checking the six conditions…

See why this time works

Tonight timeline

Moon + geometry

Moonlight path

River + mist

Why tonight

Falls Overlook

Forecast confidence

Next moonbow windows

Did you see the moonbow?